Tuesday, December 12, 2017
 
Ozone treaty taking a bite out of US greenhouse gas emissions
/ Categories: 2017, Climate

Ozone treaty taking a bite out of US greenhouse gas emissions

The Montreal Protocol, the international treaty adopted to restore Earth’s protective ozone layer, has significantly reduced emissions of ozone-depleting chemicals from the United States. In a twist, a new study by NOAA and CIRES scientists shows the 30-year old treaty has had a major side benefit - reducing climate-altering greenhouse gas emissions from the U.S.

That’s because the ozone-depleting substances controlled by the treaty are also potent greenhouse gases, with heat-trapping abilities up to 10,000 times greater than carbon dioxide over 100 years.

The new research, the first to quantify the impact of the Montreal Protocol on U.S. greenhouse gas emissions with atmospheric observations, shows that reducing the use of  ozone-depleting substances from 2008 to 2014 eliminated the  equivalent of 170 million tons of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions each year. That’s roughly the equivalent of 50 percent of the reductions achieved by the U.S. for CO2 and other greenhouse gases over the same period. The study was published August 14 in Geophysical Research Letters.

“We were surprised by the size of the decline, especially compared with other greenhouse gases,” said lead author Lei Hu, a CIRES scientist working at NOAA.

Hu added that the benefits of the Montreal Protocol on greenhouse gas emissions would likely grow in the future. By 2025, she projects that the effect of the Montreal Protocol will be to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by the equivalent of 500 million tons of CO2 per year compared with 2005 levels.  This reduction would be equivalent to about 10 percent of the current U.S. emissions of CO2.

Ozone depleters dropping

Ozone depleters dropping

NOAA's atmospheric measurements show a steady decline of two major ozone-depleting substances controlled by the Montreal Protocol in recent years. Credit: NOAA
Previous studies have demonstrated that the Montreal Protocol has been more effective at curtailing global greenhouse gas emissions than any other international effort  - even though climate change was not a consideration during the initial treaty negotiations in the late 1980s.

The analysis, based on data collected by NOAA’s atmospheric monitoring network, confirms that the Montreal Protocol has been highly successful in the U.S. in its primary goal - reducing emissions of manufactured chlorine-based chemicals that, in addition to depleting ozone world-wide, create a hole the size of the continental U.S. in the Earth’s protective ozone layer over the Antarctic each September and October.

Those chemicals—chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), and their substitutes, the hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)—have been widely used as refrigerants, foam blowing agents, aerosol propellants, fire retardants, and solvents. Chlorine from CFCs was first identified as capable of destroying stratospheric ozone in 1974. The Montreal Protocol has controlled the production and consumption of these chemicals since the late 1980s.

Implementation of the Montreal Protocol in the United States, largely through the Clean Air Act, led to a near complete phase-out of U.S. production and consumption of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) beginning in 1996 and a 95 percent decline of hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) production since 1998.

As a result, total emissions of CFCs in the U.S. have decreased by two-thirds from 2008 to 2014, while emissions of HCFCs declined by about half, the authors state.

Another indication of the treaty’s impact is increasing U.S. emissions of ozone-friendly chemicals, such as hydrofluorocarbons or HFCs. However, some HFCs are also potent greenhouse gases, and their increased use is offsetting some of the climate benefit of the Montreal Protocol, said NOAA’s Stephen Montzka, a co-author.

Countries adhering to the Protocol, including the U.S., agreed to limit future production and consumption of HFCs in 2016.

"This shows what can be achieved by concerted and thoughtful international effort," co-author Scott Lehman of the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research at the University of Colorado Boulder.  "Hopefully, the Protocol can serve as a model of the international cooperation that we need to tackle the real problem – carbon dioxide.”

For more information, contact Theo Stein, NOAA Communications, at 303-497-6288 or theo.stein@noaa.gov.

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